Understanding formation of hazards under extreme events

Objectives

  1. Develop a framework for characterisation of extreme events;
  2. Carry out analysis of climate change and sea level rise;
  3. Develop novel multi-physics concepts and tools to support integrated modelling framework (atmosphere/ocean/waves/flooding/river/rain/pipes);
  4. Develop a framework for estimation of hazards under extreme events using the concepts and tools developed within this work package;
  5. Develop a set of extreme event scenarios for the case study work and to test concepts, tools and the framework in the case study work.

Tasks

  • Task 2.1 Development of a framework for characterisation of extreme events
  • Task 2.2 Analysis of climate change and sea level rise including downscaling of climate scenarios and variables with regional climate models (atmosphere + coastal)
  • Task 2.3 Atmospheric analysis/modelling for extreme events
  • Task 2.4 Analysis of variability and changes of rainfall and storm surge frequencies
  • Task 2.5 Development of extreme event scenarios (storm surge, sea level rise, extreme rainfall, etc., including interactions with other potential hazards)
  • Task 2.6 Modelling extreme events individually and in coincidence (i.e., multiple stressors)
  • Task 2.7 Estimation of hazards using the concepts and tools developed in this work package and interaction with other work packages

Deliverables

  • D 2.1 A report describing novel hazard assessment framework and novel modelling concepts and tools for simulation of individual and combined events
  • D 2.2 A report describing an integrated modelling framework (ocean-flood, atmospheric-ocean, atmospheric-ocean-waves) including uncertainty assessment and characterisation of extreme events
  • D 2.3 A report describing the analysis of climate change and sea level rise including downscaling of climate scenarios
  • D 2.4 A report describing the effectiveness of integrated modelling/hazard assessment framework performed in the case study work
  • D 2.5 Open source ATHAM-Fluidity release along with any enhancements to Fluidity-ICOM and other developed or enhanced tools within the project

Presentations